Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.151254 0.175560 0.202555 0.234770 0.272184 0.314289 0.365303
2025-04-13 0.112014 0.144049 0.183441 0.235489 0.302545 0.386168 0.498603
2025-04-20 0.094913 0.130985 0.178562 0.246010 0.339379 0.464408 0.645152
2025-04-27 0.082742 0.120941 0.174283 0.254374 0.371950 0.538843 0.794881
2025-05-04 0.073326 0.112632 0.170298 0.261296 0.401863 0.611741 0.950812
2025-05-11 0.064750 0.103955 0.164059 0.263213 0.423506 0.673914 1.097648
2025-05-18 0.056935 0.095156 0.156141 0.260901 0.437424 0.724804 1.232130
2025-05-25 0.049460 0.085775 0.145891 0.253078 0.440731 0.758090 1.340694
2025-06-01 0.045748 0.082153 0.144548 0.259788 0.468969 0.835724 1.534451
2025-06-08 0.041648 0.077277 0.140359 0.260784 0.486927 0.897086 1.706259
2025-06-15 0.038630 0.073936 0.138411 0.265426 0.511780 0.973251 1.914464
2025-06-22 0.034652 0.068290 0.131534 0.259875 0.516513 1.012124 2.055289
2025-06-29 0.031422 0.063763 0.126369 0.257249 0.527098 1.064412 2.231692
2025-07-06 0.028918 0.060384 0.123056 0.257938 0.544492 1.132415 2.449852
2025-07-13 0.027791 0.059669 0.124947 0.269477 0.585628 1.253522 2.796184
2025-07-20 0.026520 0.058482 0.125704 0.278650 0.622752 1.370453 3.148638
2025-07-27 0.025213 0.057050 0.125754 0.286242 0.657251 1.485657 3.512226
2025-08-03 0.023576 0.054684 0.123492 0.288344 0.679530 1.576169 3.830194
2025-08-10 0.021752 0.051670 0.119438 0.285808 0.690666 1.642391 4.098621
2025-08-17 0.019694 0.047865 0.113151 0.277229 0.686308 1.671631 4.279805
2025-08-24 0.018871 0.046925 0.113444 0.284588 0.721761 1.800715 4.730160
2025-08-31 0.017727 0.045061 0.111316 0.285680 0.741618 1.893643 5.099107
2025-09-07 0.016905 0.043911 0.110797 0.290771 0.772318 2.017473 5.566604